REGIONAL #81: Half of the teams in this regional were one year away from winning a pennant: The 2015 Giants, 2001 Angels, 1984 Cardinals, and 1960 White Sox all fell in this category, while the 1968 Reds missed out by being two years away from the beginnings of the Big Red Machine dynasty. So, while there may be no pennant winners here, there is plenty of talent. The Angels wanted to immediately avenge the 2002 team's loss in the Regional #80, while my personal sentimental favorite is the Go-Go Sox, although my sentiments are rarely honored in this tournament. I'll predict an Orwellian regional final, with an all-1984 cast and the Cardinals prevailing. The ELO rankings (shown in parentheses in the bracket) tap my White Sox to win it all over the Giants in the final, which is concerning as being the ELO favorite seems to be the kiss of death in these regionals. However, I do agree with their view of the prospects for the 1951 St. Louis Browns, who they list among the 50 worst teams of all times.
First round action:Thursday, November 26, 2020
Tuesday, November 17, 2020
REGIONAL #80: There were two pennant winning teams in Regional #80 that were almost 100 years apart: the 1911 Giants and the 2002 Angels. The bracket was laid out in an interesting manner, with the top half all 20th century teams, the bottom all 21st century squads. Aside from the pennant winners, competitive teams abound; the '90 Giants had won the pennant the previous year; the 2012 Royals would win one in two years; the 1920 Red Sox were just entering the curse of trading the Babe, and when I pulled the 2018 Yanks out of the drawers, staring me in the face was a Ruthian card from Luke Voit that I noticed was DH-eligible under tournament rules. Given the way that Mark McGwire smashed his way through Regional #77, I picked Voit to do the same for New York, but the only team that I don't think has a shot are the '64 Mets. The ELO ratings aren't provided for 2018, so the Yanks aren't rated, but those rankings viewed the two pennants winners as two of the best 100 teams of all time, with the Giants expected to prevail. However, deadball teams don't seem to last long in this tournament, so I liked the Yanks to win the region, which surprisingly that franchise has only done twice before.
Can't stop this |
The 2002 Angels went into the regional final just wanting starter John Lackey to get through his requisite five innings against the 1990 Giants so that they would be able to turn the game over to their stellar bullpen, and when they went up 1-0 on a Brad Fullmer solo HR in the bottom of the 2nd they were off to a good start. However, Lackey ran into trouble in the top of the 3rd, allowing four hits with Kevin Mitchell and Matt Williams turning two of those into RBI and a 2-1 SF lead. Nonetheless, things seemed to be going according to script when the Angels scored two in the bottom of the 5th to grab a 3-2 lead that would enable them to put Lackey on a short leash. Sure enough, Brett Butler doubled to start the 6th and Lackey was immediately pulled for Brendan Donnelly and his 2.17 ERA. But, the Angels pen finally failed them, as Donnelly walked Anderson and then allow a triple to Will Clark and the score was now 4-3 Giants. The Angels pen wouldn't allow another hit, but it was too late, as Giants starter Scott Garrelts (with closer Jeff Brantley unavailable after two previous appearances) was able to finish what he started, throwing a 6-hitter to clinch the 4-3 win and the regional--the 7th for this venerable franchise. Brett Butler was selected as regional MVP, demonstrating a remarkable knack for getting on and scoring from his leadoff position.
A promising start |
Tuesday, November 10, 2020
Tuesday, November 3, 2020
RANKING THE TEAMS: THE "ELO" APPROACH
I recently ran across I just ran across this interesting "ELO" ranking of every MLB team between 1903 and 2015, a total of 2,374 teams:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-best-mlb-teams-of-all-time-according-to-elo/
This seems like a useful means of trying to determine who might be favored in the tournament matchups, although my informal appraisal of teams doesn't always match up that well with the "ELO" evaluation. Out of curiosity, I checked their rankings against the results of my recently completed single-elimination regional #78. Of the seven regional games, they predicted the winner four times; however, the top two ranked teams of the eight involved (the 2010 Phils at number 182 and the 1959 Braves at #424) both lost in the first round! At any rate, I will probably be making references to these ELO rankings in later posts, so if anyone wants to check out the source, just follow the above link.
Sorry, not eligible! |
Monday, November 2, 2020
REGIONAL #78: This regional had no pennant winners, but at a quick glance it seemed that all of the teams in the bottom half of the bracket were within three years of a pennant, while only one squad (the '69 A's) could make that claim among the top half teams. So I guessed it would be those A's, looking for a second regional in a row for that franchise, against the survivor of the tough matchups in the lower half in the finals. I had no clue who that will be, but whoever it is, I thought that survivor would win the regional.
First round action:
Two homers, no guitar solos |